Saturday, May 14, 2022

    Britain in a new cowardly countdown, while India cannot rely on much vaccine protection against Omicron

    The number of covid cases reported in the UK is expected to drop significantly after January 11, as the incidence of the virus will not necessarily decrease but the UK will start testing – and counting – differently.

    Most covid numbers are currently derived from lateral flow tests performed at home. If the result is positive, another test is sent which is done in an approved lab. There are already many people who do not test, and if positive, may not report their test to the government, especially if they are asymptomatic.

    As of January 11, anyone who is asymptomatic and positive through a lateral flow test is not required to follow-up with a PCR test. Official statistics are currently based on reports from PCR tests, and the number of reports, which have been increasing significantly in recent days, seems to be declining.

    An immediate consequence would be that people would be protected from the daily diet to look like a growing and alarming number. Someone’s guess how much. However, hospital admissions and deaths will continue to be reported daily as of now. If these numbers are as low as they are now, the new figures will be somewhat reassuring instead of alarming.

    Until January 11, Britain will remain on the countdown until the countdown begins.


    The calculation change seems to be a step towards adopting ‘flock immunity’ as the only realistic alternative, even if it remains an indescribable expression. Scientists working closely with the government are beginning to make it clear that the path must be taken – or that the spread of Omicron has already taken people.

    Sir Andrew Pollard, chief scientist for the development of the AstraZeneca vaccine, deployed in India as a covishield, says it is not realistic or cost-effective to vaccinate the world every six months. It is as good as saying that the virus should be allowed to take its course.

    The government has said it is not considering any drastic measures in the face of the new Kovid expansion. Plan B will be in place, which will initially advise people to work from home wherever possible and will be as careful as wearing a mask in a public place.


    Given the pre-prevalence of Omicron in a relatively limited area in Britain, testing the immunity of British animals, although not so loudly announced, will be crucial to dealing with Omicron in the days and weeks ahead. In India.

    Starting with the running booster jab in the UK, though, there is a critical difference. These jabs have become an important factor in limiting infection with Pfizer or Modern, and further limiting their severity when they occur. Protection from double vaccination with Pfizer only provided limited protection before, and less with AstraZeneca.

    A second important difference that is coming is that only a third booster with Pfizer and Moderna has been found to be effective against Omicron. According to a survey reported in The Lancet, a third booster with AstraZeneca offers relatively little protection. This will make a booster program with Covishield (AstraZeneca) in India mostly meaningless.

    As far as vaccines are concerned, India is currently largely unprotected against Omicron. The Indian hope, and that this cannot be an Indian plan, is that Omicron will remain as mild as it has been reported so far and that it will protect those it infects against further infections. This would suggest that at some point India may also consider completing the test and calculation.

    India will be protected from the already developed natural resistance. A study by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) in July last year suggested that two-thirds of Indians were already infected with covid. At the rate of omicron spread, almost the entire population is already infected and can be recovered. But no one is yet ready to declare that India has achieved animal immunity. The first days of Omicron look more promising than threatening, but it’s still early days.

    The majority of hospital admissions in Britain – and this is currently increasing by 50 per cent a week – are not vaccinated. Vaccines are a huge population in India, and they could be at serious risk due to the rapid spread of Omicron. Again, the Indian hope is that almost everyone has already been vaccinated naturally, as suggested by the ICMR.

    Read all the latest news, breaking news and coronavirus news here.


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